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We left this birthday party somewhere between hope and despair and with the convection, not really newly acquired, that proper statistical methods applied to ascertainable facts have their merits in economic forecasting as long as neither forecaster nor p |
中文意思: 我们离开了这喜忧参半的生日晚会,但也有那种由来已久的信心:将恰当的统计方法用于准确的具体材料,对于经济预测有很大的作用,但前提是预测者本人也好,公众也好,决不能把对可能性和趋势的估计错当成对有数学正确性的确凿事实的预测。 |
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