以下为句子列表：
英文: This paper introduced how to forecast the variation of runoff in the future and estimate the reliability of the water supply source system in operational period, by using the weighted and fuzzy Markov's Chain Model.
中文: 摘要本文通过建立模糊带权马尔柯夫链模型，预测径流量未来的丰枯变化情况，评价运行期供水水源系统的可靠性。
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